Thursday, October 02, 2008

Scouting Princeton


The Tigers celebrate last week's win over Lehigh (CREDIT: Princeton Athletics)

Over the last 10 years, you'd be hard pressed to find an Ivy football team harder to read than the Princeton Tigers. Under Head Coach Roger Hughes the Tigers at first surprised pundits with subpar performances, then started to surprise with strong seasons, before falling back below expectations last season.

I've generally been impressed by Hughes' overall improvement on the job. He seemed like one of the weakest coaches in the Ancient Eight from 2000-2004, then turned it around in '05. He's had some stars like Jay McCareins who were stars from day one, and then produced some sleepers who snuck up on you like Jeff Terrell, who nobody truly appreciated until his Bushnell Cup winning senior season in 2006.

Princeton currently has three players on offense and a defensive player who could become the next dark horses from Old Nassau to suddenly turn into big stars. On offense, the trio of QB Brian Anderson, tailback Jordan Culbreath, and wide receiver Will Thanheiser are starting to gel together. Each of them runs the ball well, and that adds a facet to the offense that wasn't there last season. As a pure receiver, Thanheiser is stepping into the role the now-graduated Brendan Circle filled as the big play guy in the clutch.

Anderson is starting to look strong at QB. I think reports of him being the next Terrell are premature... but he could turn out to be better than Terrell too because he is very good runner. We still don't have a huge amount of information, but as a passer, Anderson seems to like to dump off short passes in abundance. I don't see why he won't do that against Columbia as well. This will be another game where the linebackers and safeties are challenged from the get go.

Culbreath has done a good job putting up respectable numbers against good defenses. He could have a huge day if Columbia is not careful.

The defensive dark horse is defensive lineman and co-captain Matt Koch. He seemed like just a role player going into last season, but he had a strong 2007 and now he's a team leader on and off the field.

Princeton's overall front seven on defense seems to be as good as advertised in the preseason. But star lineman Tom Methvin is still out and will remain out this weekend. Columbia may still have to loosen things up with some long passes early.

Overall, the Tigers defense seems better than the offense. But with one game against the Citadel and the other in a rain-soaked Princeton Stadium against the already offensively-challenged Lehigh, I'm not so sure. The nice clear weather predicted for this Saturday could mean a high-scoring game.

The elephant in the room with these Tigers is depth. At QB and RB, there is a thin bench and saying "thin" is being generous. Anderson's backup at QB also happens to be the starting cornerback, Dan Kopolovich. Culbreath is about it at tailback or fullback. Much-ballyhoed freshman fullback/linebacker Jonathan Meyers is out for the season with a broken foot. If either Anderson or Culbreath go down in this game or anytime this season for that matter, Princeton is in trouble.

Special teams are a strong suit. Conor Louden is a very accurate kicker who has never missed any of his 53 PAT attempts in his collegiate career. He doesn't really do the long-distance field goal try very often, but that's not what Princeton expects him to do. Kick returner Peter Ploszek will test the Lions' questionable return coverage for sure.

With Harvard and Yale already 0-1 in the league, Princeton will be looking to make a statement Saturday, not so much against Columbia but against all the Ivies. The Lions can't let that happen.

8 Comments:

At Fri Oct 03, 12:11:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Celebrating Tigers. This photo just increased my heart rate. They will not look like that on Sat afternoon.

 
At Fri Oct 03, 01:32:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jake, why are you pumping up this Princeton team? They are ready to be taken. I see a smallish OL and front 7 on defense. Even the usual Columbia bashers on Voyforums think we have a pretty good chance on Saturday, provided we avoid bone headed penalties like 12 men on the field and get a decent game from our special teams.

 
At Fri Oct 03, 02:40:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger Jake said...

Well, I'm not pumping them up, just pointing out some strengths and a few weaknesses. I agree their lines seem small, but we've been hearing about these weak lines for three years now and all Princeton has done in that time is go 14-8 overall and win a championship. But I agree this is a totally winnable game.

 
At Fri Oct 03, 03:37:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jake,

"Columbia Week" is always a pleasure for me because I get the benefit of reading your insightful analysis. Keep up the great work.

Cheers,
Princeton Class of '82

 
At Fri Oct 03, 04:13:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I see as a very close game between two evenly matched teams with the winner likely to be decided late in the fourth quarter.

 
At Fri Oct 03, 11:54:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Have just compared all positions and Lions have equal or greater weight advantage in 21 of 22 starters. In previous yrs. heard size used as excuse, not Saturday.
If we figure out special teams this could be a big shocker!!
4th N Ten

 
At Fri Oct 03, 07:27:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Any parents who want to join a parent email list and pre-game or post-game get-togethers, please send an email to cbelk@earthlink.net.

 
At Sat Oct 04, 03:30:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger Chuck B '92 said...

If you take anything from this analysis, take this: Princeton's small lines will challenge your belief systems that a line needs to be 300 lbs across to be successful. Take it from me: we have two 300 lb-ers and when the game was on the line Princeton stuffed us.

 

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