Week Four Picks
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First, Let's Review
I had another tough week against the spread, just barely eeking out a winning record, but I started to get a better handle on the straight up winners and losers.
Here's how I did:
For Cornell -1 1/2 over Wagner I wrote:
"I know Wagner destroyed the Big Red last year, but this game is in Ithaca and I think Cornell will be a strong home team this year."
Actual Final Score: Cornell 31 Wagner 7
1-0 Straight UP, 1-0 Against the Spread
For Yale +10 1/2 at Lehigh I wrote:
"I still say Lehigh wins, but the Elis will give them a run for their money."
Actual Final Score: Lehigh 37 Yale 7
2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS
For Lafayette +6 over Harvard I wrote:
"I expect the Crimson to just barely win this game."
Actual Final Score: Harvard 31 Lafayette 3
3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS
For Brown +3 over Rhode Island I wrote:
"The Bears will bounce back and beat URI in the annual Governor's Cup game."
Actual Final Score: Brown 35 Rhode Island 21
4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS
For Penn over Dartmouth (pick 'em game) I wrote:
"Penn is very hungry coming into this contest at 0-2 and Dartmouth is dealing with a QB crisis."
Actual Final Score: Penn 22 Dartmouth 20
5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS
OVERALL 2011 RECORD: 11-6 SU, 10-7 ATS.
Now on to this week's games...
Dartmouth +3 1/2 over Yale
It's an outside of the box pick, I know. But Dartmouth needs this game more than anything and Yale has to be second guessing itself after that rout loss at Lehigh. I think the Big Green will win this one and shock the league.
Cornell +15 1/2 vs. Harvard
The Big Red are getting into a decent groove at home, while the Crimson seem primed for just a little bit of a stumble. Harvard wins, but probably by 10 or 11.
Brown +3 vs. Holy Cross
I am still high on the Bears, especially at home. I think Brown wins this game outright in a dog fight.
Hampton -15 vs. Princeton
I can't say I was impressed by the Tigers in general after seeing them up close Saturday night. This will be Princeton's first road game of the season and the Tigers have a rough trip ahead of them.
Fordham +12 at Penn
The Quakers are not overwhelming people this season, and that trend will continue Saturday. Penn will win, just not by 12 or more.