Thursday, October 06, 2011

Week Four Picks

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First, Let's Review

I had another tough week against the spread, just barely eeking out a winning record, but I started to get a better handle on the straight up winners and losers.

Here's how I did:

For Cornell -1 1/2 over Wagner I wrote:

"I know Wagner destroyed the Big Red last year, but this game is in Ithaca and I think Cornell will be a strong home team this year."

Actual Final Score: Cornell 31 Wagner 7

1-0 Straight UP, 1-0 Against the Spread

For Yale +10 1/2 at Lehigh I wrote:

"I still say Lehigh wins, but the Elis will give them a run for their money."

Actual Final Score: Lehigh 37 Yale 7

2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS

For Lafayette +6 over Harvard I wrote:

"I expect the Crimson to just barely win this game."

Actual Final Score: Harvard 31 Lafayette 3

3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS

For Brown +3 over Rhode Island I wrote:

"The Bears will bounce back and beat URI in the annual Governor's Cup game."

Actual Final Score: Brown 35 Rhode Island 21

4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS

For Penn over Dartmouth (pick 'em game) I wrote:

"Penn is very hungry coming into this contest at 0-2 and Dartmouth is dealing with a QB crisis."

Actual Final Score: Penn 22 Dartmouth 20

5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS

OVERALL 2011 RECORD: 11-6 SU, 10-7 ATS.

Now on to this week's games...

Dartmouth +3 1/2 over Yale

It's an outside of the box pick, I know. But Dartmouth needs this game more than anything and Yale has to be second guessing itself after that rout loss at Lehigh. I think the Big Green will win this one and shock the league.

Cornell +15 1/2 vs. Harvard

The Big Red are getting into a decent groove at home, while the Crimson seem primed for just a little bit of a stumble. Harvard wins, but probably by 10 or 11.

Brown +3 vs. Holy Cross

I am still high on the Bears, especially at home. I think Brown wins this game outright in a dog fight.

Hampton -15 vs. Princeton

I can't say I was impressed by the Tigers in general after seeing them up close Saturday night. This will be Princeton's first road game of the season and the Tigers have a rough trip ahead of them.

Fordham +12 at Penn

The Quakers are not overwhelming people this season, and that trend will continue Saturday. Penn will win, just not by 12 or more.


At Fri Oct 07, 01:45:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger DOC said...

Back to this weeks game. Anyone who saw Brackett at Princeton last week had to admire the kids courage for playing with an obviously hurt throwing arm/shoulder. Princeton packed the box when it became apparent that throwing the deep ball (especially without Stephens in the lineup) wasnt an option. Maybe Bell would be a better choice as our 1st string QB gets time to heal? Neither Garrett nor Gerst nor the great Night-Train Layne in his prime, will have success unless we stretch the field !

At Fri Oct 07, 02:27:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Mitch '68 said...

I agree with what you say, brother. But NT Lane played defense, at least in the pros. Maybe you mean Bobby Layne, the qb, who also played for Detroit Lions in roughly the same era. We could use them both.

At Fri Oct 07, 02:36:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

If Brackett is hurt and can't throw the deep ball he shouldn't play. Bell played well vs. Harvard in 09 and he played pretty well in the spring game. Brackett is a terrific player, but three of Princeton's four game 1 DBs were hurt vs. CU and we still couldn't beat them. It's not like playing hurt is helping the team.

At Fri Oct 07, 02:57:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I think Brackett hurt himself when he tried to vault into the end zone toward the end of the first half in the Fordham game. If he is hurt, for heaven's sake hold him out of the SH game. I think that the coaches lost confidence in Bell last Fall at Providence, when he had such a terrible start against Brown. But he does have a strong arm. With a good game plan from a creative and saavy offensive coordinator he can succeed. I think that Vinnie can put soemthing together.

At Fri Oct 07, 04:26:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I like the Dartmouth pick. They have made very serious stides in not too much time. Does anyone have an idea of what they're doing that we're not?

At Fri Oct 07, 04:31:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Excellent question about Dartmouth. A few years ago we had better palyers than Dartmouth. Buddy hasn't gotten any smarter, but they seem to have picked up their recruiting.

At Fri Oct 07, 04:33:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

One more point about the deep ball. I have wondered about Brackett's ability to throw the deep ball this year. But do we have receivers who can stretch the field? Maybe the freshman Nelligan. He is tall and should be able to outjump DBs as well.

At Fri Oct 07, 06:43:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger CULionsbacker said...

I don't know what the answer is to our woes, but we need to right the ship this week. We can all guess what is wrong with the coach or the players, but we need a confidence booster before we hit the league schedule.

At Fri Oct 07, 11:53:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger Gym Ratt said...

It will be tough to get another perfect week but here goes:

Yale -3 1/2 over DC

Cornell +15 1/2 over Harvard

Holy Cross -3 over Brown

Hampton -15 over Princeton

Penn -12 over Fordham

Sacred Heart (sadly) -3 1/2 over CU

At Fri Oct 07, 07:22:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gym Ratt, you aren't really claiming you had a perfect record last week, are you?

At Fri Oct 07, 11:37:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

To CULionsbacker, we alreasdy hit the league schedule last week, and Princeton hit back. After Sacred Heart, the league schedule resumes with Penn for six straight Ivy games that make or break the season.

At Sat Oct 08, 12:35:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gym Ratt regularly claims to have outrageous success in picking games, usually the weeks in which he does not post his picks publicly. Freud would have a field day with this guy.

At Sat Oct 08, 12:45:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Let's bring in a "bell ringer". Give Brackett a rest and go with Jerry Bell! A new look might be inspiring and get the offensive motivated. It's a non league game and Bell needs game reps and Brackett needs the break to get back to 100%. We have nothing to lose at this point and something to gain! Go Lions!

At Sat Oct 08, 01:52:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Gym was 4-2 last week. His picks are on the VOY Board.

He missed RI/Brown and Col/Prin.

He kids around alot like the rest of us.

At Sat Oct 08, 06:19:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger CULionsbacker said...

I know we were scheduled to play Princeton las week, but I blocked that game from my mind. The REST of the league schedule, of which how many of 6 will we/can we win. I don't see Princeton winning another league game. Going into the REST of the league schedule 0-4 will not bode well. At least we are on Versus next week,


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