Thursday, September 15, 2011

First Week Betting Lines Posted





First off, check out this nice short story about the Feely family that includes sophomore kicker Tyler Feely, his dad Tom and of course his older brother Jay who is kicking for the Arizona Cardinals.


Betting Lines and My Record & Policy

I am not a gambler, BUT...

These betting lines are informative.

And picking against them is a good way to see if your delusional about the Ivies or not.

Every week, (usually Friday), I make my picks public on this blog.

Last year I was 32-12 just picking winners and 31-13 against the spread.

That's a .704 winning percentage against the bookies.

For the record, I will not be supplying the name of the source on the betting lines because I actually really oppose sports betting and I am the one schmuck in America who really does use them “for entertainment purposes only.”

Also, I will continue to not pick Columbia games because I am too emotionally attached and I see a little more of the Lions than any other team which makes it unfair.

Okay disclaimers over!


Here's what the offshore oddsmakers are saying about the games this weekend, (my picks and comments will come late tomorrow or Friday):


Yale is a 16 point favorite at home against Georgetown.

Harvard and Holy Cross are a "pick 'em" game in Worcester.

Host Dartmouth is a 2 point favorite over Colgate.

Princeton is a 20 point underdog at home against Lehigh

Cornell hosts Bucknell and that game is another "pick 'em"

Penn is a big 23 point favorite over Lafayette at Franklin Field.

Brown is a three point favorite over Stony Brook on Long Island.

And our Lions are 3 1/2 point underdogs at Fordham.

6 Comments:

At Thu Sep 15, 07:57:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Jake, about these lines: They are not as telling as you seem to think.

The FCS lines receive far less scrutiny than MLB, NFL, etc. The books impose low betting maximums on FCS games, so they don't lose too much money. That is why so few books offer FCS lines. Those that do mainly use them as a tool to bring players to the sportsbook, where they will hopefully lose their money betting on other things.

So it is no surprise that an informed observer should beat these lines handily, year after year.

Use them for fun if you please, but know that they mean very little. Readers of this blog, the voy Ivy board, etc. will be far better informed than the oddsmakers.

Hopefully this will also save your readers from having to read the self-satisfied posts about how you are beating Vegas yet again. :D

 
At Thu Sep 15, 08:35:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Fordahm game notes are on their site"

http://grfx.cstv.com/photos/schools/ford/sports/m-footbl/auto_pdf/2011-12/release/release_20110914aaa.pdf

 
At Thu Sep 15, 11:26:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

First poster:

I for one object to your smugness toward our blog host, Jake. If you are a Columbia man, get with the program dude. If you are someone else, go find your own blog and g.t.f. off this one

with respect,

Chen 82

 
At Fri Sep 16, 12:26:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Sorry, Chen, I for one don't see the smugness in first poster's comments about betting lines (if that's what you're referring to). He just wants to make a helpful observation.

Go Lions!

 
At Fri Sep 16, 12:44:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Two deep is out; some surprises!

 
At Fri Sep 16, 01:36:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

where can the two deep be found?

 

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