Friday, October 21, 2011

Week Six Picks

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Who's the QB?

Confirming what Big Green Alert had been reporting, Dartmouth Head Coach Buddy Teevens now says that Connor Kempe will be the starting quarterback for the Green this Saturday.

This comes after Teevens tried two other QB's in the starting slot the last two games to no avail.

I'm not sure how much of a vote of confidence that puts in Kempe, but it sure helps the Lions prepare for the game knowing who they will be facing.

I'm sure the Columbia coaches are reminding the returning veterans how well Kempe played against them last season when the Lions got virtually no pressure on him all day.


Right now, the forecast for Saturday in Hanover is pretty good: 56 degrees and some clouds.

Let's review how I did in Week Five:

For Princeton +21 1/2 at Brown I wrote:

"The Tigers will play the Bears close enough to beat the spread, but that's about it."

Actual Final Score: Brown 34 Princeton 0

1-0 Straight Up, 0-1 Against the Spread

For Holy Cross -14 1/2 vs. Dartmouth I wrote:

"Take the Crusaders and lay the points."

Actual Final Score: Holy Cross 25 Dartmouth 17

2-0 Straight Up, 0-2 Against the Spread

For Harvard -15 vs. Bucknell I wrote:

"Pick Harvard and give the points."

Actual Final Score: Harvard 34 Bucknell 3

3-0 Straight Up, 1-2 Against the Spread

For Colgate -7 1/2 vs. Cornell I wrote:

"Colgate is at home and starting to look more like itself after a spotty start."

Actual Final Score: Colgate 28 Cornell 21 (OT)

4-0 Straight Up, 1-3 Against the Spread

For Lafayette +3 1/2 vs. Yale< I wrote:

"Yale is not the best road team and Lafayette seems to be righting its ship in Easton. Go with the Leopards and take the points."

Actual Final Score: Lafayette 28 Yale 19

5-0 Straight UP, 2-3 Against the Spread

OVERALL 2011 RECORD: 20-7 SU, 14-13 ATS.

Here are my picks for this week as I am teetering on the edge of .500 against the spread:

Penn (pick 'em) vs. Yale

Penn seems ripe for a fall after a not-so-great performance against Columbia. If this game were at the Yale Bowl, I'd have no trouble choosing the Elis. But back at Franklin Field, I think Coach Bagnoli will have his Quakers ready to play and beat Yale.

Brown -11 1/2 at Cornell

Brown's weakness is run defense. Luckily for the Bears, Cornell can't run the ball too well. Watch the Brown offense score in bunches on the fast Schoelkopf field turf. Take the Bears and lay the points.

Princeton +30 1/2 at Harvard

The Tigers looked very bad last week at Brown, but Princeton usually gets very motivated against the Crimson. Harvard will win big, but not by 30 points or more.


At Fri Oct 21, 05:48:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

More Columbia Football Recruiting News: says that the Lions have offered Max Keefe, a 6'2" 195 safety at Choctawhatchee Sr. High School In Fort Walton Beach, Florida. I assume that Max is the younger brother of John Keefe, the Lions' freshman wide receiver. Anyone know for sure?

At Fri Oct 21, 06:50:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Inwood Tiger said...

I'm going with a Princeton upset over Harvard. The Tigers are horribly embarrassed after that mess at Brown and as you point out, always up for a rousing game against Harvard.

Here's why -- Princeton actually plays in two leagues, the Ivy League and the Big Three. Ok, the Big Three has been defunct since the 1920s but if you remember my rivalry comment from a while back it's this sort of device that keeps Princetonians thinking themselves rivals to H and Y.

If Princeton beats Harvard and Yale in the same season they consider themselves champions of the Big Three and hold a giant freaking bonfire. Hasn't happened in five years, so the current team will be highly motivated. In a season where they clearly will not challenge for the Ivy title, the Tigers will at least try very hard to win the Big Three. (It's kind of the same thing as the Game for H and Y, who will rally to upset each other even if one team is having an awful year.)

At Fri Oct 21, 07:13:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Harvard is a seriously good football team and Princeton is not. It won't be close.

At Fri Oct 21, 10:31:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Inwood Tiger your dreaming in technicolor if you think Princeton can beat Harvard! Harvard will win by 3 plus TDS. Colton Chapple will light up the scoreboard.

At Fri Oct 21, 02:38:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes, Max Keefe is John's younger brother. In fact, as John tells it, Max beat John out for starting safety, which caused John to switch to WR as a senior where he did very well.

At Fri Oct 21, 08:51:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Today is a good day for driving and seeing the fall foilage.
Tomorrow will be a good day in Hanover for the Lions Faithful as the first victory of the season will be recorded.

At Fri Oct 21, 08:54:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

We made Connor Kempe look like Johnny Unitas last year at homecoming. He probably had the best game of his career. I would hope the DBs get away from the extremely soft coverage and actually dare Kempe to beat them deep rather than dink and dunk us to death! This is a winnable game. GO LIONS!

At Fri Oct 21, 10:43:00 PM GMT+7, Blogger Gym Ratt said...

Well, this will be tougher than last week. I just missed a perfect weekend ATS. I like:

Yale over Penn even

Harvard -30 1/2 over Princeton

Brown - 11 1/2 over Cornell

Lions +10 over DC


At Sat Oct 22, 01:15:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Inwood Tiger said...

I know, I know, but a Tiger has to dream (in orange, actually). Having been a student for three (or was it four?) bonfires in the 90s I find it inconceivable that we now lose to Harvard every year...

At Sat Oct 22, 04:23:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Hey gym ratt, your picks last weekend were 3-3. Saying that's "just missing" a perfect weekend is like saying the Lions have just missed being undefeated.

At Sat Oct 22, 11:08:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger Blue Balls said...

Only a liar (or Lion hater) would be 'Anonymous' in trying to defame my record.

At Sun Oct 23, 08:29:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

When did Blue Balls make any predictions? So Gym Ratt = Blue Balls.

Nobody is defaming anyone, they are just pointing out facts. Real Lions can do that.


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