Thursday, June 17, 2010

Returning in Providence


David Howard: one of many, many Brown stars not back for 2010



Are there any Ivy teams that can beat Columbia's number of 17 starters returning for 2010?

Let's start with Brown and look at the Bears starting lineup from the final game of 2009:


OFFENSE

QB 9 Newhall, Kyle*
TB 47 Theodhosi, Spiro*
FB 43 Mangiacotti, Mark
FL 46 Farnham, Buddy
SE 8 Sewall, Bobby
TE 87 Fertig, Andrew
RT 66 Jasinowski, Paul
RG 76 Johnston, Jarrid
C 77 Callahan, Mark
LG 64 Danser, Tim
LT 53 Conroy, Patrick*


DEFENSE


DE 44 Develin, James
DT 96 Lemmons, Michael
DT 90 Howard, David
DE 57 Hughes, Peter
OLB 1 Gillett, Robert*
ILB 42 Cox, Kelley
ILB 52 Gallagher, Bren
OLB 5 Roffi, Phil* (5th year senior)
CB 12 Cruz, AJ*
S 15 Perkins, Chris
CB 4 Clement, David


*=returning players

From what we see above, Brown has just three returning starters on offense and three returnees on defense.

But you have to bolster the offense's numbers a bit. RB Zach Tronti, who started some games in 2009, will be back in 2010 as well. OL Brian Ellixson was a frequent starter who will be a senior this fall. Quasi-starter TE Alex Prestley is also coming back.

So it's more like six returning starters on offense, including the most important offensive player in QB Kyle Newhall Caballero.

But on defense, you really can't do much to change that small number of just three returning players. There is no other way to say it: the Bear defense is gutted. And despite the great publicity the Brown offense has gained and earned in recent years, the Brown "D" was instrumental in many wins last season. It was especially effective against the run with that great defensive line.

No doubt the losses of WR's Buddy Farnham and Bobby Sewall and OL Paul Jasinowski will be talk of the pundits this offseason. But if I'm Phil Estes, I'm more worried about the defensive losses. That's because unlike the Brown offense, the defense has not been able to simply reload with new talent every time top starters graduate.

And yet, I think most of the published predictions this year will put Brown in the top three of the league and I'll be shocked if all the experts don't choose the Bears over Columbia in the standings.

Hey, I have more respect for Coach Estes than I can say and I don't think Brown will suffer a 2006-like season where they fell to 2-8 after winning the league title the year before.

But these are significant losses, especially along both the offensive and defensive lines. I get the idea of predicting the Bears will still have a winning season overall. But I don't see how Brown can seriously be considered a title contender for 2010 with that kind of graduation attrition.

6 Comments:

At Fri Jun 18, 02:06:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger HBShannon said...

No doubt there numbers are depleted.

Phil Roffi is back with a final year of eligibility.

Tri-captain Anthony Serrano has significant playing time as does Chismo Okoji.

In the defensive backfield, Blaine Grinna had significant minutes and stats in pass defense.

Not quite as bleak as the first glance of numbers but still areas of concern.

 
At Fri Jun 18, 02:25:00 AM GMT+7, Blogger Jake said...

THANKS! Updating the Roffi status now.

 
At Fri Jun 18, 02:31:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

It all seems to be in place to make a bona fide run at the title. Wilson's system is fully in place and the team has shown it can compete against any on the schedule...and we now have some exciting skill and speed at key positions. I don't think Knowlin (as good as he was) will be missed all that much as it seems our offense will be better and more balanced.

Crossing my fingers that Garret, Brackett, Stephens, Kennedy, Ivory and Andrade combo pack -- behind a good O-line -- will score more TDs than last year.

I say we win 5 league games this year and an overall 7-3 record...

 
At Fri Jun 18, 09:06:00 AM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Dartmouth should have more than 17 starters returning.

 
At Fri Jun 18, 08:15:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

I also think we are set to make a run this year. The key game is Penn in Philly. I expect the Penn defense to be somewhat weaker this year.

 
At Fri Jun 18, 08:16:00 PM GMT+7, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Too bad we don't have a blog yet for Columbia Men's and Women's Basketball. The Columbia Women have a Fab Five quality incoming class that will enable the Lady Lions to compete for the Ivy League Championship the next four years. Two terrific players from Oregon, one from California, one from Tennessee, and, finally, one from Georgia, which is sending some solid football talent to Columbia as well. Great national recruiting by Coach Paul Nixon!

 

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